Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.98 – 252.72

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.2 ±17

5276Edgar Allan Ohms

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 28.22Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11337Mystery Machines

Provisional

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 18.02Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4576Red Nation Robotics

Season APEX 115.6Event APEX 26.74Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.3 ±13.9

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 103.46Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1445Webb Spark

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 16.74Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 132.52Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5276, 11337, 4576

/ 100 compat

Projected

73 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5276, 11337, 4576

Auto

24.4 32%

Teleop

35.2 46%

Endgame

17.5 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2393, 1445, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2393, 1445, 2783

Auto

41.3 17%

Teleop

151.5 63%

Endgame

47.2 20%

Strengths

· 2783 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score73pts

Blue projected score252.7pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -179.7
Score range: 52–274
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 117.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.2Season APEX537.3

24.4Auto41.3

35.2Teleop151.5

17.5Endgame47.2

58Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	45
teleop	4	125
endgame	24	65
foul	0	0
total	48	235

Result

Final score

48 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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