Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

254.98 – 53.49

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

332 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 80.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.5 ±11.2

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 113.12Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 70.46Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4674RoboJacks

Season APEX 193Event APEX 71.4Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.8 ±15.1

547Falcon Engineering And Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 31.2Event APEX 0.39Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 54.53Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3824HVA RoHAWKtics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -1.43Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4065, 3102, 4674

/ 100 compat

Projected

255 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4065, 3102, 4674

Auto

45.6 18%

Teleop

140.8 56%

Endgame

65.9 26%

Strengths

· 4065 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 547, 3492, 3824

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 547, 3492, 3824

Auto

21.0 32%

Teleop

31.7 48%

Endgame

12.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score255pts

Blue projected score53.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.5
Score range: 32–276
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 113.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535.5Season APEX308.8

45.6Auto21

140.8Teleop31.7

65.9Endgame12.8

62Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	18
teleop	200	86
endgame	115	28
foul	0	5
total	332	137

Result

Final score

332 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 80.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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