Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.61 – 103.89

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 29

Prediction missed · off by 83.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.1 ±13.5

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 6.76Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 64.11Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX -1.26Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.3 ±13.9

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 32.64Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 59.6Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3984Topper Robotics

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 11.65Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1466, 3966, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1466, 3966, 4265

Auto

-2.6 0%

Teleop

36.9 57%

Endgame

29.9 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10137, 7525, 3984

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10137, 7525, 3984

Auto

11.2 10%

Teleop

69.9 61%

Endgame

32.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score69.6pts

Blue projected score103.9pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.3
Score range: 49–125
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 114.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.1Season APEX293.3

-2.6Auto11.2

36.9Teleop69.9

29.9Endgame32.7

115Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	14
teleop	111	11
endgame	41	4
foul	0	0
total	161	29

Result

Final score

161 – 29

Prediction missed · off by 83.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.