Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

3.04 – 58.3

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

20 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 153.9 ±18.8

9668Malfunctionz

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 34.82Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX -18.22Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3821Pirabots

Provisional

Season APEX 13.6Event APEX -13.56Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.2 ±18.8

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 52.25Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11337Mystery Machines

Provisional

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 6.83Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

547Falcon Engineering And Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 31.2Event APEX -0.78Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9668, 7428, 3821

/ 100 compat

Projected

3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9668, 7428, 3821

Auto

10.7 100%

Teleop

2.1 23%

Endgame

-3.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3102, 11337, 547

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3102, 11337, 547

Auto

20.8 31%

Teleop

34.0 51%

Endgame

11.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score3pts

Blue projected score58.3pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.3
Score range: -18–79
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 135 vs event baseline 117.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153.9Season APEX183.2

10.7Auto20.8

2.1Teleop34

-3.5Endgame11.7

122Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	37
teleop	7	64
endgame	7	14
foul	0	0
total	20	115

Result

Final score

20 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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