Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.32 – 72.36

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

271 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 47 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.5 ±14.7

7516Louisville Centrons

Provisional

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 16.46Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 126.54Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4674RoboJacks

Season APEX 193Event APEX 58.32Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139 ±17.5

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 27.5Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5276Edgar Allan Ohms

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 34.85Rank 46Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8778HSUWerx

Provisional

Season APEX 13.2Event APEX 10.01Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7516, 2783, 4674

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7516, 2783, 4674

Auto

46.3 23%

Teleop

108.7 54%

Endgame

47.6 23%

Strengths

· 2783 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3140, 5276, 8778

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3140, 5276, 8778

Auto

9.4 20%

Teleop

14.0 29%

Endgame

24.2 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score201.3pts

Blue projected score72.4pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 129
Score range: 52–221
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 112.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518.5Season APEX139

46.3Auto9.4

108.7Teleop14

47.6Endgame24.2

42Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	17
teleop	168	11
endgame	52	10
foul	0	10
total	271	48

Result

Final score

271 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 47 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.