Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.91 – 129.14

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

17 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 3.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.3 ±19.2

3821Pirabots

Provisional

Season APEX 13.6Event APEX -7.69Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9152Rat Fight

Season APEX 142.5Event APEX 11.72Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8778HSUWerx

Provisional

Season APEX 13.2Event APEX 15.88Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.3 ±13.5

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 23.93Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 63.62Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4576Red Nation Robotics

Season APEX 115.6Event APEX 41.59Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3821, 9152, 8778

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3821, 9152, 8778

Auto

11.5 68%

Teleop

-0.4 0%

Endgame

5.8 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3140, 3966, 4576

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3140, 3966, 4576

Auto

20.5 16%

Teleop

67.5 54%

Endgame

37.0 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score19.9pts

Blue projected score129.1pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.2
Score range: -4–153
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 133.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.3Season APEX396.3

11.5Auto20.5

-0.4Teleop67.5

5.8Endgame37

77Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	12
teleop	5	76
endgame	0	46
foul	5	0
total	17	134

Result

Final score

17 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 3.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.