Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.91 – 159.92

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 228

Prediction missed · off by 60 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.8 ±43.5

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 76.78Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 46.33Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 72.8Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 597.7 ±15.8

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 99.37Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8585Bombax Leopard

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX -0.34Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 60.89Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6947, 9997, 7130

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6947, 9997, 7130

Auto

32.1 17%

Teleop

100.9 54%

Endgame

53.3 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9126, 8585, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.9 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9126, 8585, 6998

Auto

31.6 20%

Teleop

92.1 57%

Endgame

37.0 23%

Strengths

· 9126 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score195.9pts

Blue projected score159.9pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36
Score range: 140–216
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 109.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.8Season APEX597.7

32.1Auto31.6

100.9Teleop92.1

53.3Endgame37

15Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	32
teleop	22	151
endgame	81	25
foul	20	20
total	144	228

Result

Final score

144 – 228

Prediction missed · off by 60 pts