Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.48 – 111.55

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.7 ±41

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 128.1Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.04Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 113.34Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.1 ±41.8

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 37.92Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11177HCSH Leopard Cat

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 36.59Rank 20Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 37.04Rank 16Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8595, 9999, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.5 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8595, 9999, 7632

Auto

55.0 23%

Teleop

138.1 58%

Endgame

43.0 18%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9995, 11177, 8169

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 11177, 8169

Auto

14.6 14%

Teleop

67.2 65%

Endgame

21.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score251.5pts

Blue projected score111.6pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 139.9
Score range: 92–271
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 108.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.7Season APEX103.1

55Auto14.6

138.1Teleop67.2

43Endgame21.5

13Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	5
teleop	97	50
endgame	55	39
foul	0	15
total	193	109

Result

Final score

193 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts