Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.47 – 82.48

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.7 ±41

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 135.88Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 118.23Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.36Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.1 ±13.9

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 17.29Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 27.79Rank 9Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 37.4Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8595, 7632, 9999

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.5 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8595, 7632, 9999

Auto

50.6 20%

Teleop

155.1 62%

Endgame

46.1 18%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8806, 9501, 10034

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.5 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8806, 9501, 10034

Auto

8.0 10%

Teleop

39.0 51%

Endgame

29.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score273.5pts

Blue projected score82.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 191
Score range: 63–292
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 106.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.7Season APEX454.1

50.6Auto8

155.1Teleop39

46.1Endgame29.8

9Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	21
teleop	117	51
endgame	44	18
foul	5	20
total	233	110

Result

Final score

233 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts