Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

222.38 – 80.69

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.7 ±41

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 121.15Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.54Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 102.77Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.7 ±16.7

11229Open Circuit

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 26.87Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 10.71Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 43.11Rank 12Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8595, 9999, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8595, 9999, 7632

Auto

47.5 22%

Teleop

115.7 54%

Endgame

51.1 24%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11229, 8805, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.7 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11229, 8805, 8725

Auto

14.7 20%

Teleop

37.0 50%

Endgame

21.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score222.4pts

Blue projected score80.7pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 141.7
Score range: 61–242
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 112.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.7Season APEX280.7

47.5Auto14.7

115.7Teleop37

51.1Endgame21.6

36Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	29
teleop	72	35
endgame	9	18
foul	0	20
total	119	102

Result

Final score

119 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts