Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.84 – 180.16

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

168 – 245

Prediction missed · off by 67.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.7 ±41

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.17Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 125.75Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 107.92Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 597.7 ±15.8

8585Bombax Leopard

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 4.9Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 106.36Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 68.9Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9999, 8595, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 8595, 7632

Auto

51.4 23%

Teleop

129.6 57%

Endgame

46.4 20%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8585, 9126, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8585, 9126, 6998

Auto

31.4 18%

Teleop

110.9 63%

Endgame

34.3 19%

Strengths

· 9126 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score237.8pts

Blue projected score180.2pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.7
Score range: 160–258
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 110.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.7Season APEX597.7

51.4Auto31.4

129.6Teleop110.9

46.4Endgame34.3

26Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	44
teleop	64	150
endgame	71	51
foul	0	0
total	168	245

Result

Final score

168 – 245

Prediction missed · off by 67.3 pts