Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.31 – 93.16

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 122

Prediction missed · off by 49.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.8 ±43.5

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 72.27Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 40.44Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 69.6Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.1 ±13.9

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 36.48Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 33.8Rank 9Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 22.88Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6947, 9997, 7130

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.3 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6947, 9997, 7130

Auto

29.6 17%

Teleop

80.9 47%

Endgame

60.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10034, 9501, 8806

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10034, 9501, 8806

Auto

17.3 20%

Teleop

44.0 51%

Endgame

24.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score182.3pts

Blue projected score93.2pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.2
Score range: 73–202
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 235 vs event baseline 110.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.8Season APEX454.1

29.6Auto17.3

80.9Teleop44

60.4Endgame24.6

19Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	28
teleop	38	52
endgame	9	22
foul	20	20
total	113	122

Result

Final score

113 – 122

Prediction missed · off by 49.1 pts