Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.55 – 101.85

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 40.1 ±10

7645

Season APEX -Event APEX 56.29Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status -Confidence -

6245

Season APEX -Event APEX 3.72Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status -Confidence -

11177HCSH Leopard Cat

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 16.54Rank 20Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.5 ±42.8

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 21.02Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 56.29Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.54Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7645, 6245, 11177

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.6 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7645, 6245, 11177

Auto

10.6 14%

Teleop

43.7 59%

Endgame

19.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6947, 9126, 9999

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6947, 9126, 9999

Auto

23.9 23%

Teleop

58.7 57%

Endgame

19.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score76.6pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.3
Score range: 58–121
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 103.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

40.1Season APEX386.5

10.6Auto23.9

43.7Teleop58.7

19.3Endgame19.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	34
teleop	68	139
endgame	0	24
foul	0	10
total	83	207

Result

Final score

83 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable