Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.79 – 125.85

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 84.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±14.4

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 31.08Rank 16Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 29.14Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 6.57Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.5 ±11.7

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 38.67Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 77.02Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 10.16Rank 12Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8169, 7130, 9427

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8169, 7130, 9427

Auto

14.5 23%

Teleop

31.9 51%

Endgame

15.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6998, 7632, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6998, 7632, 8725

Auto

24.3 19%

Teleop

75.0 59%

Endgame

27.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score66.8pts

Blue projected score125.9pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.1
Score range: 50–143
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 361 vs event baseline 97.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.5Season APEX642.5

14.5Auto24.3

31.9Teleop75

15.8Endgame27.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	32
teleop	56	120
endgame	40	91
foul	5	0
total	118	243

Result

Final score

118 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 84.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable