Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

74.08 – 29.78

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

42 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 74.4 ±42.9

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 11.54Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11229Open Circuit

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 27.88Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.66Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.1 ±19.1

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 6.82Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 30.08Rank 21Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7673Formosan Sika

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX -7.12Rank 28Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8805, 11229, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8805, 11229, 9995

Auto

16.1 24%

Teleop

34.8 52%

Endgame

16.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8584, 7636, 7673

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8584, 7636, 7673

Auto

6.3 39%

Teleop

7.0 43%

Endgame

3.0 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score74.1pts

Blue projected score29.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.3
Score range: 9–95
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 71 vs event baseline 117.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

74.4Season APEX126.1

16.1Auto6.3

34.8Teleop7

16.5Endgame3

31Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	7
teleop	15	3
endgame	18	4
foul	0	15
total	42	29

Result

Final score

42 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable