Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.34 – 67.78

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.9 ±42.1

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 66.24Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -2.33Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 23.43Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.6 ±42.1

6083Overlooking

Season APEX 80.6Event APEX 3.77Rank 29Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 29.64Rank 16Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.37Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7130, 9999, 8806

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.3 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7130, 9999, 8806

Auto

16.4 19%

Teleop

37.7 44%

Endgame

32.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6083, 8169, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.8 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6083, 8169, 9997

Auto

17.9 30%

Teleop

30.6 52%

Endgame

10.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score87.3pts

Blue projected score67.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.6
Score range: 47–108
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 117.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.9Season APEX143.6

16.4Auto17.9

37.7Teleop30.6

32.3Endgame10.7

19Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	32
teleop	50	85
endgame	32	25
foul	0	10
total	102	152

Result

Final score

102 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable