Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.97 – 37.39

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.5 ±18.2

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 77.22Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 66.87Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11229Open Circuit

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 27.88Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.6 ±17.3

8790Departure

Provisional

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 5.45Rank 26Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8585Bombax Leopard

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 12.77Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 19.17Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6998, 6947, 11229

/ 100 compat

Projected

172 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6998, 6947, 11229

Auto

34.3 21%

Teleop

81.0 50%

Endgame

46.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8790, 8585, 9427

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.4 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8790, 8585, 9427

Auto

8.0 27%

Teleop

19.8 66%

Endgame

2.0 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score172pts

Blue projected score37.4pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.6
Score range: 16–193
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 143 vs event baseline 117.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.5Season APEX232.6

34.3Auto8

81Teleop19.8

46.3Endgame2

24Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	6
teleop	64	9
endgame	27	3
foul	0	5
total	120	23

Result

Final score

120 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable