Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.17 – 33.79

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 108

Prediction missed · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.7 ±42.2

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 37.79Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 39.91Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX -1.53Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.7 ±16.7

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 26.45Rank 21Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 17.66Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7497MARAHO

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX -10.32Rank 8Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9997, 10034, 8584

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9997, 10034, 8584

Auto

21.7 32%

Teleop

43.4 63%

Endgame

3.7 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7636, 9427, 7497

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7636, 9427, 7497

Auto

8.9 29%

Teleop

3.3 11%

Endgame

18.2 60%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score76.2pts

Blue projected score33.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.4
Score range: 15–95
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 106.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.7Season APEX260.7

21.7Auto8.9

43.4Teleop3.3

3.7Endgame18.2

0Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	14
teleop	33	59
endgame	2	15
foul	35	20
total	77	108

Result

Final score

77 – 108

Prediction missed · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable