Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
111.85 – 118.77
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
161 – 112
Prediction missed · off by 28 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.3 ±41.9
Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 118.22Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.03Rank 17Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 24.8Event APEX -13.4Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 525.3 ±14.9
Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 95.5Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 0.72Rank 28Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 22.55Rank 19Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7632, 9996, 8585
60
/ 100 compatProjected
111.9 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 7632, 9996, 8585
Auto
20.4 18%
Teleop
76.7 69%
Endgame
14.2 13%
Strengths
- · 7632 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9126, 7673, 10114
66
/ 100 compatProjected
118.8 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9126, 7673, 10114
Auto
17.6 17%
Teleop
57.2 56%
Endgame
26.6 26%
Strengths
- · 9126 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score111.9pts
Blue projected score118.8pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample98alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -6.9
- Score range
- 93–138
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214.3Season APEX525.3
20.4Auto17.6
76.7Teleop57.2
14.2Endgame26.6
67Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 20 |
| teleop | 91 | 73 |
| endgame | 18 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 161 | 112 |
Result
Final score
161 – 112
Prediction missed · off by 28 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable