Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

185.76 – 167.24

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 5.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 577.7 ±12

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 113.75Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 36.43Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7645

Season APEX -Event APEX 35.58Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.1 ±42.3

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.37Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 11.54Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 121.33Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9126, 10034, 7645

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.8 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9126, 10034, 7645

Auto

31.8 18%

Teleop

106.5 59%

Endgame

41.6 23%

Strengths

· 9126 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9997, 8805, 8595

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9997, 8805, 8595

Auto

30.8 20%

Teleop

80.9 53%

Endgame

40.7 27%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score185.8pts

Blue projected score167.2pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.5
Score range: 146–207
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 117.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

577.7Season APEX289.1

31.8Auto30.8

106.5Teleop80.9

41.6Endgame40.7

45Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	29
teleop	106	115
endgame	51	23
foul	0	0
total	197	167

Result

Final score

197 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 5.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable