Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.13 – 153.91

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.9 ±17.5

6083Overlooking

Season APEX 80.6Event APEX 15.02Rank 29Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 56.04Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7673Formosan Sika

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 3.07Rank 28Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.5 ±42.5

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 94.05Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 22.18Rank 21Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 37.68Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6083, 6998, 7673

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6083, 6998, 7673

Auto

8.3 12%

Teleop

33.8 49%

Endgame

27.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9126, 7636, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.9 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9126, 7636, 9997

Auto

29.2 20%

Teleop

93.8 65%

Endgame

22.1 15%

Strengths

· 9126 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.85 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score74.1pts

Blue projected score153.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.8
Score range: 55–173
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 103.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.9Season APEX375.5

8.3Auto29.2

33.8Teleop93.8

27Endgame22.1

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	32
teleop	5	82
endgame	30	49
foul	0	0
total	64	163

Result

Final score

64 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable