Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.15 – 36.86

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 34.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 88.6 ±42.4

11229Open Circuit

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 30.65Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.58Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11177HCSH Leopard Cat

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 21.92Rank 20Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500.2 ±14.7

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 35.79Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7497MARAHO

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX -26.53Rank 8Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 27.6Rank 12Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11229, 9999, 11177

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11229, 9999, 11177

Auto

12.2 17%

Teleop

50.4 71%

Endgame

8.1 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10034, 7497, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10034, 7497, 8725

Auto

17.4 56%

Teleop

-15.1 0%

Endgame

28.6 93%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score72.2pts

Blue projected score36.9pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.3
Score range: 18–91
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 104.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

88.6Season APEX500.2

12.2Auto17.4

50.4Teleop-15.1

8.1Endgame28.6

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	10
teleop	26	61
endgame	0	19
foul	15	0
total	56	90

Result

Final score

56 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 34.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable