Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.35 – 121.56

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

118 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 45 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.9 ±13.6

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 141.46Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 34.28Rank 19Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 13.61Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 123.3 ±42.6

6947Savage Tumaz

Provisional

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 60.84Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.89Rank 17Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 49.83Rank 16Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8595, 10114, 8584

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.4 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8595, 10114, 8584

Auto

24.9 15%

Teleop

104.6 63%

Endgame

35.3 21%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6947, 9996, 8169

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.6 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6947, 9996, 8169

Auto

33.9 27%

Teleop

73.6 58%

Endgame

18.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score189.4pts

Blue projected score121.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.8
Score range: 103–208
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 104.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.9Season APEX123.3

24.9Auto33.9

104.6Teleop73.6

35.3Endgame18.9

0Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	17
teleop	44	56
endgame	16	25
foul	35	5
total	118	103

Result

Final score

118 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 45 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable