Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.88 – 188.87

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.4 ±41

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.75Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 28.4Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 15.73Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.7 ±10

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 122.43Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7645

Season APEX -Event APEX 38.91Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status -Confidence -

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 27.53Rank 9Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9995, 8806, 9427

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.9 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 8806, 9427

Auto

0.9 1%

Teleop

52.1 69%

Endgame

22.3 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7632, 7645, 9501

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.9 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7632, 7645, 9501

Auto

32.2 17%

Teleop

97.9 51%

Endgame

62.3 32%

Strengths

· 7632 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.72 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79.9pts

Blue projected score188.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109
Score range: 61–208
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 104.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.4Season APEX270.7

0.9Auto32.2

52.1Teleop97.9

22.3Endgame62.3

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	36
teleop	22	84
endgame	25	20
foul	0	30
total	67	170

Result

Final score

67 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable