Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
228.02 – 102.95
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
167 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 32 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 259 ±17.5
6947Savage Tumaz
Provisional
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 72.61Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 130.76Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 24.65Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.2 ±41.8
Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 34.23Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.47Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 54.25Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6947, 7632, 8584
83
/ 100 compatProjected
228 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6947, 7632, 8584
Auto
35.6 17%
Teleop
120.4 57%
Endgame
55.4 26%
Strengths
- · 7632 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10034, 9999, 6998
56
/ 100 compatProjected
103 pts
~0.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10034, 9999, 6998
Auto
17.1 17%
Teleop
68.6 67%
Endgame
16.6 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score228pts
Blue projected score103pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample98alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 125.1
- Score range
- 84–247
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
259Season APEX498.2
35.6Auto17.1
120.4Teleop68.6
55.4Endgame16.6
53Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 21 |
| teleop | 110 | 47 |
| endgame | 0 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 167 | 106 |
Result
Final score
167 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 32 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable