Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.96 – 74.62

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.3 ±14.7

7636Robomania

Provisional

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 30.08Rank 21Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 102.27Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 21.61Rank 19Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130.5 ±16.2

9501Sidereal Envoy

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 36.04Rank 9Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8584Infinity Robotics

Season APEX 9.2Event APEX 6.82Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11177HCSH Leopard Cat

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 31.76Rank 20Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7636, 7632, 10114

/ 100 compat

Projected

154 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7636, 7632, 10114

Auto

31.2 22%

Teleop

77.7 54%

Endgame

34.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9501, 8584, 11177

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.6 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9501, 8584, 11177

Auto

13.8 25%

Teleop

40.4 72%

Endgame

1.8 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score154pts

Blue projected score74.6pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.3
Score range: 54–175
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 117.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.3Season APEX130.5

31.2Auto13.8

77.7Teleop40.4

34.2Endgame1.8

9Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	0
teleop	145	8
endgame	54	16
foul	5	15
total	248	39

Result

Final score

248 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable