Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.54 – 33.65

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

102 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 521.1 ±15.6

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 9.88Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 11.18Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 93.48Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -10.66Rank 17Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 45.31Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9427, 8805, 9126

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9427, 8805, 9126

Auto

17.9 15%

Teleop

80.6 66%

Endgame

24.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9996, 9995, 9999

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.7 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9996, 9995, 9999

Auto

10.6 24%

Teleop

25.1 56%

Endgame

9.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.81 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score114.5pts

Blue projected score33.7pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.9
Score range: 14–135
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 138 vs event baseline 109.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

521.1Season APEX0

17.9Auto10.6

80.6Teleop25.1

24.2Endgame9.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	4
teleop	66	29
endgame	6	3
foul	0	0
total	102	36

Result

Final score

102 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable