Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.22 – 103.72

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 264

Prediction missed · off by 134.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±41.7

7497MARAHO

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 26.14Rank 8Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 115.77Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 61.31Rank 15Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518 ±13.6

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 37.99Rank 12Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11229Open Circuit

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 7.95Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 57.78Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7497, 7632, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.2 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7497, 7632, 9997

Auto

39.3 20%

Teleop

103.4 52%

Endgame

57.7 29%

Strengths

· 7632 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8725, 11229, 8595

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.7 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8725, 11229, 8595

Auto

21.6 21%

Teleop

51.7 50%

Endgame

31.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score203.2pts

Blue projected score103.7pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.5
Score range: 86–221
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 102.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.9Season APEX518

39.3Auto21.6

103.4Teleop51.7

57.7Endgame31

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	33
teleop	10	137
endgame	15	59
foul	30	35
total	95	264

Result

Final score

95 – 264

Prediction missed · off by 134.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable