Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.04 – 92.86

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.8 ±17.7

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 10.99Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8790Departure

Provisional

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 2.86Rank 26Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6083Overlooking

Season APEX 80.6Event APEX 23.19Rank 29Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.8 ±15.4

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 41.62Rank 10Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10114Phantom Talons

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 56.27Rank 19Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8585Bombax Leopard

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX -5.03Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8806, 8790, 6083

/ 100 compat

Projected

37 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8806, 8790, 6083

Auto

13.8 40%

Teleop

11.9 35%

Endgame

8.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10034, 10114, 8585

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10034, 10114, 8585

Auto

21.4 23%

Teleop

52.6 56%

Endgame

20.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score37pts

Blue projected score92.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.8
Score range: 18–112
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 109 vs event baseline 107.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.8Season APEX407.8

13.8Auto21.4

11.9Teleop52.6

8.5Endgame20.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	6
teleop	33	36
endgame	0	5
foul	0	20
total	42	67

Result

Final score

42 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable