Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

203.12 – 214.85

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

209 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 597.7 ±15.8

8585Bombax Leopard

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 12.35Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 113.51Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 77.26Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.7 ±41

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 119.16Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -4.47Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 100.16Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8585, 9126, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.1 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8585, 9126, 6998

Auto

36.3 18%

Teleop

120.5 60%

Endgame

44.2 22%

Strengths

· 9126 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8595, 9999, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8595, 9999, 7632

Auto

42.7 21%

Teleop

111.9 54%

Endgame

51.7 25%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score203.1pts

Blue projected score214.9pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.7
Score range: 182–236
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 115.4.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

597.7Season APEX452.7

36.3Auto42.7

120.5Teleop111.9

44.2Endgame51.7

2Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	47
teleop	101	154
endgame	52	60
foul	40	5
total	209	266

Result

Final score

209 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts