Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

194.52 – 204.78

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

248 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 597.7 ±15.8

8585Bombax Leopard

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 9.23Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 110.57Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 74.72Rank 14Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.7 ±41

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 115.23Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -7.49Rank 27Record 1-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 97.04Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8585, 9126, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8585, 9126, 6998

Auto

34.1 18%

Teleop

120.0 63%

Endgame

37.7 20%

Strengths

· 9126 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8595, 9999, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.8 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8595, 9999, 7632

Auto

45.8 23%

Teleop

108.4 55%

Endgame

44.0 22%

Strengths

· 8595 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score194.5pts

Blue projected score204.8pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample98alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.3
Score range: 175–225
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 112.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

597.7Season APEX452.7

34.1Auto45.8

120Teleop108.4

37.7Endgame44

2Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	25
teleop	124	133
endgame	78	99
foul	0	20
total	248	277

Result

Final score

248 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 pts