Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

445.66 – 176.6

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

546 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 55.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 722.5 ±9.8

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 43.67Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 267.62Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 134.37Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.6 ±8.5

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 6.04Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 83.71Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 86.85Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7667, 841, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.7 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7667, 841, 6036

Auto

97.9 23%

Teleop

255.1 59%

Endgame

76.9 18%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 8793, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 8793, 6418

Auto

37.8 23%

Teleop

87.7 54%

Endgame

37.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.09 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score445.7pts

Blue projected score176.6pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 269.1
Score range: 127–496
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 734 vs event baseline 278.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

722.5Season APEX291.6

97.9Auto37.8

255.1Teleop87.7

76.9Endgame37.9

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	33
teleop	323	125
endgame	111	30
foul	5	0
total	546	188

Result

Final score

546 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 55.9 pts

Match videos

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