Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

641.9 – 410.45

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

678 – 589

Prediction correct · off by 107.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 680.7 ±7.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 21.16Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 309.61Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 311.13Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 722.5 ±9.8

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 32.45Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 255.36Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 122.64Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 581, 604

/ 100 compat

Projected

641.9 pts

~3.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 581, 604

Auto

116.1 18%

Teleop

382.9 61%

Endgame

131.3 21%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 61%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7667, 841, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

410.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7667, 841, 6036

Auto

93.9 24%

Teleop

241.5 62%

Endgame

55.1 14%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 61%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.25 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score641.9pts

Blue projected score410.5pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 61%, blue 52%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 231.5
Score range: 361–691
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1267 vs event baseline 270.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

680.7Season APEX722.5

116.1Auto93.9

382.9Teleop241.5

131.3Endgame55.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	117
teleop	407	307
endgame	139	165
foul	5	0
total	678	589

Result

Final score

678 – 589

Prediction correct · off by 107.3 pts

Match videos

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