Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

172.51 – 246.12

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 79.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 558.9 ±11.7

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 28.07Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 96.38Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 48.06Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.8 ±10.5

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 115.61Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 107.18Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 23.33Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9470, 9584, 4186

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9470, 9584, 4186

Auto

19.6 12%

Teleop

87.3 52%

Endgame

59.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 5507, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.1 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 846, 5507, 6884

Auto

39.9 16%

Teleop

147.9 61%

Endgame

55.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score172.5pts

Blue projected score246.1pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.6
Score range: 124–295
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 273.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

558.9Season APEX460.8

19.6Auto39.9

87.3Teleop147.9

59.8Endgame55.2

12Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	72
teleop	42	214
endgame	29	9
foul	5	30
total	93	325

Result

Final score

93 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 79.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.