Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

384.8 – 162.51

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

544 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.3 ±7.8

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 28.36Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 200.67Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 155.77Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.6 ±8.5

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 0.56Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 81.71Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 80.24Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 6962, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.8 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 6962, 5940

Auto

92.1 24%

Teleop

223.0 59%

Endgame

65.9 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 8793, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 8793, 6418

Auto

40.4 26%

Teleop

84.1 54%

Endgame

30.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.09 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score384.8pts

Blue projected score162.5pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 222.3
Score range: 114–434
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 738 vs event baseline 271.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.3Season APEX291.6

92.1Auto40.4

223Teleop84.1

65.9Endgame30

45Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	138	37
teleop	278	78
endgame	128	79
foul	0	0
total	544	194

Result

Final score

544 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 pts

Match videos

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