Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.94 – 229.23

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

475 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 722.5 ±9.8

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 249.92Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 27.08Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 120.94Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.8 ±10.5

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 110.57Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 101.09Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 17.57Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 841, 7667, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.9 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 841, 7667, 6036

Auto

94.4 24%

Teleop

236.8 61%

Endgame

55.9 14%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 5507, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 846, 5507, 6884

Auto

40.1 18%

Teleop

151.2 66%

Endgame

36.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.94 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score397.9pts

Blue projected score229.2pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.7
Score range: 181–446
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 791 vs event baseline 269.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

722.5Season APEX460.8

94.4Auto40.1

236.8Teleop151.2

55.9Endgame36.6

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	41
teleop	268	141
endgame	63	124
foul	50	10
total	475	316

Result

Final score

475 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 pts

Match videos

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