Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

442.5 – 440.93

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

523 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 781.7 ±9.9

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 40.84Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 167.98Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 233.68Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 520.3 ±7.8

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 47.79Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 219.01Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 174.13Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2854, 3045, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

442.5 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2854, 3045, 973

Auto

90.0 21%

Teleop

242.0 57%

Endgame

96.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 62%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 6962, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

440.9 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 6962, 5940

Auto

106.9 24%

Teleop

246.7 56%

Endgame

85.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 62%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.38 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score442.5pts

Blue projected score440.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 62%, blue 53%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.6
Score range: 389–495
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 934 vs event baseline 290.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

781.7Season APEX520.3

90Auto106.9

242Teleop246.7

96.2Endgame85.7

13Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	126	119
teleop	272	212
endgame	110	80
foul	15	0
total	523	411

Result

Final score

523 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 pts

Match videos

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