Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

407.82 – 259.96

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

585 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 108.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.3 ±7.8

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 35.94Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 208.39Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 163.49Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.8 ±10.5

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 121.97Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 110.58Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 27.41Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 6962, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

407.8 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 6962, 5940

Auto

96.5 24%

Teleop

233.9 58%

Endgame

75.7 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 5507, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

260 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 846, 5507, 6884

Auto

45.8 18%

Teleop

159.9 64%

Endgame

45.9 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.93 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score407.8pts

Blue projected score260pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.9
Score range: 210–458
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 885 vs event baseline 280.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.3Season APEX460.8

96.5Auto45.8

233.9Teleop159.9

75.7Endgame45.9

10Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	128	52
teleop	290	121
endgame	162	77
foul	5	50
total	585	300

Result

Final score

585 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 108.6 pts

Match videos

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