Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

230.35 – 113.05

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 258

Prediction missed · off by 128.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.8 ±11.7

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 144.82Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 72.67Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 12.86Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 509.5 ±10.4

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 18.04Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

766M-A Bears

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 6.55Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8048East Palo Alto ChurroBots

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 88.46Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2854, 846, 4186

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2854, 846, 4186

Auto

32.1 15%

Teleop

147.0 67%

Endgame

39.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5507, 766, 8048

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5507, 766, 8048

Auto

11.7 11%

Teleop

68.1 64%

Endgame

26.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.41 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score230.4pts

Blue projected score113.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.3
Score range: 74–269
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 376 vs event baseline 213.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392.8Season APEX509.5

32.1Auto11.7

147Teleop68.1

39.1Endgame26.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	52
teleop	54	125
endgame	46	81
foul	0	0
total	118	258

Result

Final score

118 – 258

Prediction missed · off by 128.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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