Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.75 – 232.32

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 439

Prediction missed · off by 209.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.6 ±12.2

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 51.79Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 132.57Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 65.39Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 504.7 ±7.8

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 72.89Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 26.86Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 132.57Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 199, 7667, 6506

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 199, 7667, 6506

Auto

44.0 19%

Teleop

146.0 62%

Endgame

44.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6418, NaN, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6418, NaN, 581

Auto

36.6 16%

Teleop

137.9 61%

Endgame

50.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score249.8pts

Blue projected score232.3pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 47%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.4
Score range: 194–288
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 210.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.6Season APEX504.7

44Auto36.6

146Teleop137.9

44Endgame50.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	91
teleop	4	261
endgame	15	82
foul	0	5
total	37	439

Result

Final score

37 – 439

Prediction missed · off by 209.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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