Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
125.58 – 361.94
5%95%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
160 – 349
Prediction correct · off by 23.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 234 ±9.2
Season APEX -Event APEX 24.79Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 19.44Rank 31Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 81.35Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 616.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 112.01Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 229.25Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 20.68Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · NaN, 668, 8793
38
/ 100 compatProjected
125.6 pts
~0.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: NaN, 668, 8793
Auto
18.0 17%
Teleop
43.3 41%
Endgame
44.7 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 846, 973, 10339
73
/ 100 compatProjected
361.9 pts
~2.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 846, 973, 10339
Auto
63.5 18%
Teleop
215.6 62%
Endgame
66.9 19%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score125.6pts
Blue projected score361.9pts
Red win probability5%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 32%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -236.4
- Score range
- 78–410
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
234Season APEX616.9
18Auto63.5
43.3Teleop215.6
44.7Endgame66.9
69Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 65 |
| teleop | 57 | 196 |
| endgame | 75 | 68 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 160 | 349 |
Result
Final score
160 – 349
Prediction correct · off by 23.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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