Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

181.73 – 458.69

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

331 – 557

Prediction correct · off by 123.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.7 ±11.6

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 84.14Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 82.12Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 15.47Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 830.7 ±9.3

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 146.02Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 294.43Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 18.24Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5507, 9584, 5924

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.7 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5507, 9584, 5924

Auto

31.0 17%

Teleop

124.6 67%

Endgame

29.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5940, 604, 7667

/ 100 compat

Projected

458.7 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5940, 604, 7667

Auto

94.8 22%

Teleop

261.7 60%

Endgame

80.5 18%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.76 · Blue 3.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score181.7pts

Blue projected score458.7pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 57%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -277
Score range: 134–507
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 888 vs event baseline 265.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

333.7Season APEX830.7

31Auto94.8

124.6Teleop261.7

29.7Endgame80.5

15Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	151
teleop	169	325
endgame	117	81
foul	15	0
total	331	557

Result

Final score

331 – 557

Prediction correct · off by 123.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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