Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.8 – 384.18

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 537

Prediction correct · off by 79.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.6 ±14.4

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -20.3Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 23.87Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 31.23Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 630.7 ±11.2

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 150.36Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 47.03Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 186.79Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6410, 10339, 2854

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6410, 10339, 2854

Auto

11.9 40%

Teleop

-2.8 0%

Endgame

20.3 69%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3045, 4186, 6962

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.2 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3045, 4186, 6962

Auto

71.5 18%

Teleop

230.5 59%

Endgame

91.0 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.82 · Blue 3.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score34.8pts

Blue projected score384.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 49%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -349.4
Score range: -13–432
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 566 vs event baseline 267.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.6Season APEX630.7

11.9Auto71.5

-2.8Teleop230.5

20.3Endgame91

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	117
teleop	4	312
endgame	9	108
foul	0	0
total	29	537

Result

Final score

29 – 537

Prediction correct · off by 79.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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