Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.34 – 268.11

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219 – 386

Prediction correct · off by 123.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.1 ±11.1

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 0.68Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX -18.49Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 107.15Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.6 ±11

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 18.83Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 172.21Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 77.07Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5924, 6506, 846

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.3 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5924, 6506, 846

Auto

13.7 15%

Teleop

61.7 67%

Endgame

16.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2854, 6962, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.1 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2854, 6962, 6418

Auto

54.5 20%

Teleop

159.5 58%

Endgame

60.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score89.3pts

Blue projected score268.1pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 50%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.8
Score range: 41–316
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 605 vs event baseline 265.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.1Season APEX455.6

13.7Auto54.5

61.7Teleop159.5

16.2Endgame60.3

60Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	82
teleop	126	229
endgame	37	75
foul	5	0
total	219	386

Result

Final score

219 – 386

Prediction correct · off by 123.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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