Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

417.34 – 200.06

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

531 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 93.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 785 ±9.3

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 220.71Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 124.48Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 72.15Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.2 ±15.5

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 36.52Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 70.19Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 93.35Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 973, 6036, 8793

/ 100 compat

Projected

417.3 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 973, 6036, 8793

Auto

99.0 25%

Teleop

213.7 55%

Endgame

79.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10339, 10185, 5507

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10339, 10185, 5507

Auto

29.0 14%

Teleop

141.4 70%

Endgame

30.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.9 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score417.3pts

Blue projected score200.1pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.3
Score range: 152–465
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 658 vs event baseline 264.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

785Season APEX378.2

99Auto29

213.7Teleop141.4

79.4Endgame30.5

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	29
teleop	331	77
endgame	105	21
foul	5	0
total	531	127

Result

Final score

531 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 93.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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