Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.34 – 98.67

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 68.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.5 ±7.8

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 6.25Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 23.33Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 143.76Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±9.9

668The Apes of Wrath

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 17.65Rank 31Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 73.71Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 7.31Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7667, NaN, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.3 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7667, NaN, 3045

Auto

51.5 31%

Teleop

96.7 59%

Endgame

17.0 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 668, 9584, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 668, 9584, NaN

Auto

33.0 35%

Teleop

24.3 26%

Endgame

36.9 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score173.3pts

Blue projected score98.7pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.7
Score range: 51–221
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 265.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.5Season APEX186.9

51.5Auto33

96.7Teleop24.3

17Endgame36.9

46Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	23
teleop	181	62
endgame	39	34
foul	15	15
total	275	134

Result

Final score

275 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 68.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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