Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

398.24 – 441.36

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

484 – 504

Prediction correct · off by 74.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 446.7 ±13.9

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 166.12Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 255.46Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -23.34Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561.1 ±11.2

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 67.12Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 51.54Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 322.7Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6962, 841, 6410

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6962, 841, 6410

Auto

78.4 20%

Teleop

252.3 65%

Endgame

59.2 15%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8793, 199, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8793, 199, 581

Auto

78.8 19%

Teleop

260.2 61%

Endgame

85.9 20%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.82 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score398.2pts

Blue projected score441.4pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 50%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.1
Score range: 351–488
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 988 vs event baseline 260.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

446.7Season APEX561.1

78.4Auto78.8

252.3Teleop260.2

59.2Endgame85.9

12Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	93
teleop	262	215
endgame	108	126
foul	0	70
total	484	504

Result

Final score

484 – 504

Prediction correct · off by 74.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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