Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.28 – 60.58

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

418 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 103.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.7 ±14.8

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 96.18Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 128.48Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 53.62Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.8 ±11.7

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 0.37Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 29.31Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 30.9Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 846, 5940, 10185

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.3 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 846, 5940, 10185

Auto

50.5 19%

Teleop

169.5 63%

Endgame

48.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7667, 4159, 10339

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.6 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7667, 4159, 10339

Auto

27.8 56%

Teleop

21.0 42%

Endgame

0.7 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score278.3pts

Blue projected score60.6pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.7
Score range: 14–325
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 260.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.7Season APEX373.8

50.5Auto27.8

169.5Teleop21

48.8Endgame0.7

43Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	16
teleop	253	73
endgame	55	34
foul	15	5
total	418	128

Result

Final score

418 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 103.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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