Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.14 – 52.27

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 93.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.4 ±12.2

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 44.88Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 14.86Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 81.4Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.3 ±9.9

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX -27.14Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 62.13Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 17.28Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 199, 2854, 5507

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 199, 2854, 5507

Auto

10.2 8%

Teleop

89.5 66%

Endgame

35.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6506, 9584, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6506, 9584, NaN

Auto

18.1 36%

Teleop

18.0 36%

Endgame

13.7 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score141.1pts

Blue projected score52.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.9
Score range: 5–188
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 262.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.4Season APEX183.3

10.2Auto18.1

89.5Teleop18

35.6Endgame13.7

31Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	11
teleop	112	78
endgame	46	55
foul	0	15
total	222	159

Result

Final score

222 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 93.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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