Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

795.71 – 21.23

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

763 – 9

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 873 ±9.3

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 222.55Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 264.96Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 308.2Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 84.7 ±13

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 17.16Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -19.67Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 23.74Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 973, 841, 604

/ 100 compat

Projected

795.7 pts

~3.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 973, 841, 604

Auto

124.9 16%

Teleop

471.2 60%

Endgame

190.1 24%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 70%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6884, 6410, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6884, 6410, NaN

Auto

18.7 100%

Teleop

19.6 100%

Endgame

-29.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 70%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.52 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score795.7pts

Blue projected score21.2pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 70%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 774.5
Score range: -25–842
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 772 vs event baseline 255.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

873Season APEX84.7

124.9Auto18.7

471.2Teleop19.6

190.1Endgame-29.1

40Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	153	7
teleop	451	2
endgame	99	0
foul	60	0
total	763	9

Result

Final score

763 – 9

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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